
Insights
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Rogue State Demand?
Rogue state demand is potentially a bullish price catalyst, and at the same time it is a PR nightmare. It is critical to return to the principles guiding your decision making to ensure you are not caught up in the narrative

2021 Review and 2022 Outlook
The market structure has changed. A protracted bear market is unlikely. Fed tightening could create a tougher year for crypto but capital deployment will still result in bright sparks as numerous new entities are compelled to turn towards this powerful decentralized technology. Watch the Fed, the SEC and US stablecoin regulation closely to assess if we out/underperform expectations.

Co-opted by Wall Street – Bitcoin’s Biggest Risk?
Wall Street’s growing importance is unavoidable as bitcoin goes mainstream, but correlations will not rise indefinitely and bitcoin’s independence remains in the hands of everyday users like me and you.

The geopolitical event of the decade
While decentralised bitcoin has displayed its resilience to regulation, bans and decreased the probability of a 51% attacks, centralised China may have handed a critical technology of the future to its peers.

Bitcoin is the Reserve Asset of Crypto
There is immense value in the broader crypto ecosystem of decentralised financial technologies but the bright shiny lights of the fastest appreciating token also pose a risk.

Stablecoins – bitcoin’s Pandora’s box
Stablecoins are an important and revealing innovation. With deep liquidity, lightning-fast settlement, and dramatic user growth these crypto USDs pose important questions for regulators and traditional financial markets.

The ESG Solution
The environment is precious, resources are scarce, and we are compelled to sustain this beautiful planet for future generations. Bitcoin’s detractors single out bitcoin mining as regressive and environmentally damaging, which catches the eyes of the increasingly powerful ESG and green movements. But this approach reveals a gross misunderstanding of the technology.

Worried about a ban? Then you need bitcoin more than you think
Skeptics often argue that governments will ban Bitcoin when it becomes too important and threatens national sovereignty. At least these critics understand Bitcoin’s importance and the power that state currency monopolies exert over us. What they fail to understand

When bitcoin is fundamental & legacy markets are idiosyncratic
Today, bitcoin is idiosyncratic to traditional financial markets. Unlike bonds, equity and property, bitcoin’s returns are uncorrelated with economic growth, inflation, or risk premia.

Scarce digital tech (tesla) is not digital sound money (bitcoin)
Tesla has announced that it purchased $1.5bn worth of bitcoin in Q4 2020. Bitcoin adoption by a globally renown company is exciting, and it’ll probably trigger the next phase in this bitcoin bull-market, but I’ve got mixed emotions.

What is bitcoin and who needs it?
This is a very short note that gets to the essence of the what and why of bitcoin.

Embracing Speculation: High-probability potential in a speculative world
Bitcoin’s detractors often refer to it as a speculative asset. This is partially true – an investment in bitcoin involves speculation on an inherently uncertain future. But the connotation implied by ‘speculation’ is often unhelpful because it associates bitcoin with fly-by-nights who are merely trying to make a quick buck.

Adoption Waves: FOMO remains Bitcoin’s #1 Marketing Strategy
Whilst bitcoin demand is variable, bitcoin supply is perfectly known and pre-determined. There will only be 21 million. The architectural design is very unlikely to change. It’s incredible how known supply meets variable demand and results in adoption waves, which centre around the halving*.

Where can we place our trust?
TLDR: The foundations of social trust are being tested. Our unsound monetary system with its negative consequences is a driver of this trust deficit. Communities that adopt sound money assets take a proactive step towards trustworthy relationships and away from the insidious consequences of unsound money.

Debt’s unequal impact on wealth
Have you ever wondered why it’s challenging to buy a house and save for your family’s future? Debt and its unequal impact on wealth is the focus of this edition of the Sound Money Money. TLDR: Debt is driving wealth inequality.
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